Luka Doncic is the preseason favorite to win the 2022 NBA MVP award. The Mavericks guard leads a list of likely candidates and contenders with Joel Embiid and Finals MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo rounding out the top three.

Odds to win NBA MVP

Player Odds
Luka Doncic+509
Joel Embiid+735
Giannis Antetokounmpo+740
Kevin Durant+786
Stephen Curry+847
Damian Lillard+1268
LeBron James+1478
Trae Young+1543
James Harden +1605
Nikola Jokic+1688
Jayson Tatum+2639
Anthony Davis+2948
Devin Booker+2948
Paul George+2953
Donovan Mitchell+3159
Russell Westbrook+3790
Zion Williamson+4421
Kyrie Irving+4421
Bradley Beal+5789
Ja Morant+5789
Julius Randle+6841
Karl-Anthony Towns+6841
Jimmy Butler +6841
Zach LaVine+7366
Chris Paul+7366
Domantas Sabonis+7893
Jaylen Brown+10522
Bam Adebayo+10522
Rudy Gobert+10522
Klay Thompson+12623
De’Aaron Fox+13151
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+13676
Khris Middleton+13676
CJ McCollum+13676
Brandon Ingram+13676
LaMelo Ball+13676
Nikola Vucevic+13676
Ben Simmons+15780
Pascal Siakam+15780
Collin Sexton+19987
Cade Cunningham+19987
DeAndre Ayton+19987
Michael Porter Jr+21037
Jalen Green+21037
Christian Wood+21037
Evan Mobley+26297
Anthony Edwards+26297

MVP Favorites

Luka Doncic

Doncic is the unanimous early favorite amongst sportsbooks. The Slovenian finished fourth and sixth in MVP voting over the past two seasons after impressive displays. Fresh from signing a $207 million supermax extension, Doncic is expected to take his game to the next level this season under the guidance of Jason Kidd.

Joel Embiid

Embiid came close to winning MVP last season but injuries set him back. He finished second in MVP voting despite missing 19 games so a healthy season could be all it takes for the Sixers center to win the award.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Two-time MVP Antetokounmpo missed out on a three-peat last season despite having another career year. With an NBA title and Finals MVP now under his belt he could make a run for his third MVP award.

Kevin Durant

Considered by many to be the best player in the league, Durant’s MVP chances may be hampered playing alongside James Harden and Kyrie Irving (on the road). Expect Durant to preserve his energy until the playoffs at which point he’ll be playing at MVP level.

Stephen Curry

Last season’s leading scorer had a career year putting up 32 points per game. The return of his running mate Klay Thompson will boost Curry’s MVP chances with the Warriors likely to become a top contender in the West.

NBA MVP Trends

Winners win MVP

Winning plays an integral part in players getting the nod for MVP. Only two former winners played on teams that had less than 50 wins. In fact, since 1985 only two recipients played for teams that finished worse than second in their conference.

Scoring is the Key

The award typically favors offensively charged players. The league’s leading scorer has won four of the last five awards so it pays to pick a player with a heavy scoring output.

Experience Counts

Not since 1969 when Wes Unseld won the award has a rookie been named MVP. Unseld is one of only four players under the age of 23 to have won the award. Recipients are usually in the prime of their careers which means they will have had several seasons worth of experience.

Centers Dominate the Award

Centers have traditionally done well in MVP award voting. Big men won 22 of the first 28 MVP awards and account for 27 of the 65 awards. The league’s shift away from dominant bigs has seen guards and forwards win all the recent awards. Jokic’s win last season made him the first center since Shaquille O’Neal in 2000 to win the award.

Past NBA MVP Winners

Here are the MVP winners from the past ten seasons:

2020-21: Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets
2019-20: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
2018-19: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
2017-18: James Harden, Houston Rockets
2016-17: Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City Thunder
2015-16: Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors
2014-15: Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors
2013-14: Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City Thunder
2012-13: LeBron James, Miami Heat
2011-12: LeBron James, Miami Heat

How to bet on the 2022 NBA MVP?

NBA MVP betting is one of the most popular futures betting options offered by sportsbooks. Futures are typically bets on season-long outcomes such as the eventual NBA champion, Coach of the Year or Rookie of the Year.

Odds for futures bets are set during the preseason, but can fluctuate throughout the season based on performances, injuries, transactions and results.

NBA MVP Odds Explained

Basketball sportsbooks usually display MVP odds like this:

Luka Doncic +509

Joel Embiid +735

Giannis Antetokounmpo +740

This indicates that Luka Doncic is the favorite because he has the lowest number beside his name. In this situation, he is viewed as the favorite over Joel Embiid and Giannis Antetokounmpo.

How do those numbers translate into payouts? Consider Giannis Antetokounmpo as an example. If you bet $100 successfully on Giannis to win MVP, you’d get $840 – your original stake is returned plus your winnings of $740. 

Andrew brings decades of championship winning experience to The AllStar having forged several successful NBA careers on NBA 2K. A longtime Sixers fan, Andrew is very much still trusting the process and awaits the day that Sam Hinkie is allowed back in the NBA.