First overall draft pick Cade Cunningham leads this season’s NBA rookie race with second pick Jalen Green close behind. The AllStar breaks down the 2022 NBA Rookie of the Year (ROY) betting odds from Vegas as teams prepare to tip off their seasons.
Odds to Win NBA Rookie of the Year
|Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons)||+249|
|Jalen Green (Houston Rockets)||+274|
|Jalen Suggs (Orlando Magic)||+699|
|Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers)||+799|
|Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors)||+1199|
|Alperen Şengün (Houston Rockets)||+1199|
|Davion Mitchell (Sacramento Kings)||+1798|
|James Bouknight (Charlotte Hornets)||+2797|
|Jonathan Kuminga (Golden State Warriors)||+2797|
|Chris Duarte (Indiana Pacers)||+2797|
|Josh Giddey (Oklahoma City Thunder)||+2997|
|Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks)||+2997|
|Franza Wagner (Orlando Magic)||+3497|
|Keon Johnson (Los Angeles Clippers)||+3997|
|Sharife Cooper (Atlanta Hawks)||+3997|
|Tre Mann (Oklahoma City Thunder)||+3997|
|Ayo Dosunmu (Chicago Bulls)||+4496|
|Corey Kispert (Washington Wizards)||+4496|
|Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors)||+4496|
|Ziaire Williams (Memphis Grizzles)||+4496|
|Kai Jones (Charlotte Hornets)||+5995|
|Joshua Primo (San Antonio Spurs)||+6595|
|Jared Butler (Utah Jazz)||+7994|
|Miles McBride (New York Knicks)||+7994|
|Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans)||+7994|
|Nah’Shon Hyland (Denver Nuggets)||+7994|
Summer League Update
Fans got an early look at the 2021/22 rookie crop in the Summer League. The top prospects lived up to the hype with Cunningham, Green, Suggs and Barnes putting up strong performances.
Rockets center Alperen Şengün saw his ROY odds shorten as he displayed interior scoring and passing skills whilst leading all rookies in blocks. Davion Mitchell’s odds also improved after his defence earned him Summer League co-MVP honors with Cameron Thomas. Thomas, selected 27th overall by the Nets, led the competition in scoring with 27 points per game.
Rookie of the Year Favorites
Cade Cunningham, Detroit Pistons
Undeniably the best prospect in his class, the 6-foot-6 point forward has all the tools to succeed in today’s NBA. Cunningham put up 20.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.5 assists in 27 games at Oklahoma State. He steps into the spotlight at Detroit where his versatility and maturity is desperately needed. The Pistons will need to give him free rein to call isolation plays or run pick-and-rolls if he is to flourish on the offensive end.
Jalen Green, Houston Rockets
Expect the highly touted Green to make a strong case for ROY. He should have no issue slotting into the Rockets starting lineup alongside Christian Wood and Kevin Porter Jr. given his experience and versatility. Green already has one year of professional experience under his belt having spent last season in the G-League where he averaged 17.9 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists along with 1.5 steals.
NBA Rookie of the Year Trends
First Overall Picks
Historically, first overall draft picks like Cunningham have had the most success, with 21 of them winning ROY. Incidentally, 16 ROY winners have also gone on to win the NBA Most Valuable Player award.
Rookie Scoring Leaders
Scoring is another factor to consider: 21 of the last 32 ROY winners were leading scorers of their draft class. Seven finished second in scoring with the other three coming third. Only Malcolm Brogdon finished fourth in scoring.
Pick a Point Guard
The position of a rookie plays also appears to have some influence on the outcome. Twelve of the last 16 ROY winners were point guards who averaged at least 4.0 assists.
Winning is Not Everything
Given that ROY winners are usually top picks, they typically play for some of the pervious season’s worst-performing teams. In the last 17 years, all but two ROY winners played for teams with a losing record. Unlike other awards such as the MVP or Coach of the Year, you want to keep and eye on rookies playing for the worst teams as they’re more likely to get more playing time and better stats.
Joint winners are a possibility but have only happened three times – Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie in 1970-71, Grant Hill and Jason Kidd in 1994-95 and Elton Brand and Steve Francis in 1999-2000.
Avoid the Heat and Nuggets
The Golden State Warriors have the most ROY winners with six. The Washington Wizards, Sacramento Kings and Los Angeles Clippers are next with five each. The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets are the only NBA teams without players to have won the award.
NBA Rookie of the Year Winners
Here are the ROY winners from the past ten seasons:
2020-21: LaMelo Ball, 3rd pick, Charlotte Hornets
2019-20: Ja Morant, 2nd pick, Memphis Grizzlies
2018-19: Luka Doncic, 3rd pick, Dallas Mavericks
2017-18: Ben Simmons, 1st pick, Philadelphia 76ers
2016-17: Malcolm Brogdon, 36th pick, Milwaukee Bucks
2015-16: Karl-Anthony Towns, 1st pick, Minnesota Timberwolves
2014-15: Andrew Wiggins, 1st pick, Minnesota Timberwolves
2013-14: Michael Carter-Williams, 11th pick, Philadelphia 76ers
2012-13: Damian Lillard, 6th pick, Portland Trail Blazers
2011-12: Kyrie Irving, 1st pick, Cleveland Cavaliers
How to bet on NBA Rookie of the Year
The ROY winner is one of the popular futures betting options offered by sportsbooks. Futures are typically bets on season-long outcomes such as the eventual NBA champion, MVP winner and Coach of the Year.
Odds for futures bets are set during the preseason, but can fluctuate throughout the season based on performances, injuries, transactions and results.
Rookie of the Year Odds Explained
Basketball sportsbooks usually display ROY odds like this:
Cade Cunningham +249
Jalen Green +274
Jalen Suggs +699
This indicates that Cade Cunningham is the favorite because he has the lowest number beside his name. In this situation, he is viewed as the slight favorite over Green.
How do those numbers translate into payouts? Consider Jalen Suggs as an example. If you bet $100 successfully on Suggs to win Rookie of the Year, you’d get $799 – your original stake is returned plus your winnings of $699.